Win Wearable computing
I promised to give the Microsoft my humble advice on 7 steps to
re-establish themselves as a technical leader. I had only written to step 4
when the Nokia deal was announced. Sorry, I have a day job so the advice comes
out slowly. :-). But now that you have ignored step 1, let me
skip ahead to step 7 and maybe, just maybe the $7B acquisition will not be a
dinosaur mating session.
First if all, for those non-regular readers of this blog,
please see my advice on why Microsoft should exit the phone/tablet and windows
phone pace. The purchase of Nokia does not change the dynamics of the game.
Developers don’t want a third platform and they will not build cutting edge
application for your devices. The battle is over and you were not a winner.. You can pour
billions of investment into this space and maybe you can win 5-10% of the
market. Your prize for that accomplishment will be billons of dollars in
losses. It will make the $18B you lost in Microsoft online properties seem like
a paper cut.
But there might still be a way to win. Win wearable
computing. This market is early. The winners have not been decided. Google
Glass, the activity monitors, the soon to be launched watches are real early. Developers
have not committed to a platform and they will build to any great device that
gains market share. These applications
are not going to be phone/tablet ports, they are going to be new applications that
take advantage of the unique nature of wearable devices. They battle for the
hearts and minds of wearable developers is just beginning. While we have not
heard much from Microsoft or Nokia in this area. I am sure you have resources
on this. I would double and triple down here. Make great wearable devices and applications
that that work well with Windows and iOS and Android.
And you are likely in better shape here now that you own
Nokia. They have produced some brilliant hardware over the years. Take your
best and brightest and put them on this project. Surely they must be frustrated
in the current phone/tablet war. I mean how motivating can it be to sit around
the Monday phone/tablet staff meeting with the rallying cry; “We can be #3!!!”
or “Let’s crush Blackberry!!!”
I was at a recent conference and Gary Vaynerchuck gave the
audience this advice: “The biggest mistake you can make is being romantic about
the way you have made money in the past” I would suggest to you that Microsoft
is being too romantic about it’s past. Its’ idea is to control the operating
system, then win the high margin app business on top of it. We understand it!!!
You want Windows on PC/Tablets and Phones! It’s a wonderful romantic idea, but
is just fantasy!!!! You have lost the phone /tablet space and you can only win
if Android/Apple make a huuuuuuuuuuge mistake or that asteroid thing comes
through for you.
If you want romance, pull out a copy of “Casablanca” or
better yet, pop in a Betamax tape of the Windows95 launch. But if you want to regain tech leadership, give
up on phones/tablets. Win Wearables.
PS – I will go back and cover steps 5 and 6 later this week.

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